Mark Prisk MP, Hayek and Mises

Via Business Minister Mark Prisk wants to strip away the red tape – Telegraph:

Friedrich von Hayek is a controversial choice as a pin-up. But a signed pamphlet that the Austrian-born economist wrote in 1980 entitled “Full employment at any price” is proudly framed on Business Minister Mark Prisk’s wall. In placing it there, the Conservative MP for Hertford and Stortford is following in a line of leading Tories to place their faith in one of the 20th century’s most prominent economic theorists.

Great news, but let’s hope my colleagues are reading Hayek’s much-neglected Prices and Production, which explains the structure of capital and which allows a better grasp of real patterns of economic activity.

Hayek is useful, but I find his work takes for granted Mises, who wrote “Society is cooperation; it is community in action.” Consequently, Hayek can be misunderstood. Mises’ work has as a primary theme “social cooperation”: his theories explain the realities of acting individuals working together to improve their condition, that is, the cooperative relationships which constitute civilized society.

Meanwhile, I am beginning Mises’ Omnipotent Government – The Rise of the Total State and Total War (1944), which can be read online here. Read more

[bumped up] The economic debate becomes more fundamental

This post has been brought forward for those people who asked me today about money, bank credit and economic cycles while I was telling for the EU and local elections.

As the Austrian Theory of the Trade Cycle gains interest for its coherent explanation of our present predicatment, it also gains opponents. Here, Robert Murphy answers Australian economist John Quiggin:

The Mises-Hayek theory of the business cycle — and of our recent housing bubble in particular — is gaining more and more adherents in the “real world.” To give anecdotal evidence: Five years ago, when I’d write a Mises Daily article, the fan mail would pour in from college students. But now, I get questions from hedge-fund managers and others working in the financial sector. Austrian economics is no longer a hobby; this is serious stuff.

I am not here to tell you the Mises-Hayek theory of the business cycle is a work of art that has no flaws. If I said that, then I would be living up to Quiggin’s caricature. What I will say is that the Austrian explanation of the boom-bust cycle makes more sense than any other explanation I’ve seen. In particular, most rival schools of thought say that the way to fix an economy plagued by overconsumption and reckless lending is to have the government borrow obscene amounts of money and to have politicians take over financial accounting. And it’s the Austrians who allegedly cling to dogma in the face of overwhelming counterevidence?

via Correcting Quiggin on Austrian Business-Cycle Theory – Robert P. Murphy – Mises Institute .

Why should we care? Because we are all in this economic mess together: understanding how we came to be here is the beginning of our route out.

See also The Importance of Capital Theory:

Once we understand how our present problems are due to a Fed-induced distortion in the capital structure, it becomes clear that the worst recommendation is for the Fed to cut interest rates and pump in ever more “liquidity.” It was artificially cheap credit that fueled the housing boom in the first place. Greenspan brought the federal funds target rate down to a ridiculous 1 percent — meaning the interest rate was actually negative, once we adjust for price inflation — and held it there for a year. He did this in order to (apparently) obviate the need for a harsh recession in the “real economy” after the dot-com crash. But in fact he sowed the seeds for our present crisis. If Bernanke continues shoveling in hundreds of billions to needy bankers, five years from now Americans (and the rest of the world) may look back fondly on the present the way the 2001 downturn now seems like a minor inconvenience.

It is worth remembering that Alan Greenspan once blamed the Great Depression on the actions of the Federal Reserve in that it pumped excess credit, “triggering a fantastic speculative boom”.

There are issues here that we should all strive to understand. That understanding is not out of reach: Rethinking economics — primer.

FT.com: Outline bail-out deal agreed

The FT reports that US legislators have reached “fundamental agreement” on the Bush administration’s $700bn rescue plan:

Hans Jorg Rudloff, Barclays Capital chairman, said: “Anyone looking at the money markets would come to the conclusion that we are one minute before a terminal heart attack. Therefore the rescue package will pass. There is no choice.”

However,

“I’ve never seen people so angry,” said Jim DeMint, a Republican senator from South Carolina. “Our calls are a hundred to one against this bail-out. They don’t trust the government.”

read more | digg story

FT.com: “AIG forms keystone of financial system”

AIGAccording to the FT:

The head of equities at one of the UK’s biggest investors said the repercussions should AIG fail were “potentially bigger than Lehmans. It is too big to go bust. If it does, we will be eating baked beans out of a tin.”

Alarmist perhaps, but the article is worth reading: it does appear that AIG, like Fannie and Freddie, is too big to fail.

read more | digg story

Mises.org: “Has Capitalism Failed?”

Reflecting on the demise of Lehman Brothers and on Bank of America’s purchase of Merrill Lynch, I revisited an article by recent US presidential candidate Ron Paul, posted on mises.org:

Capitalism should not be condemned, since we haven’t had capitalism. A system of capitalism presumes sound money, not fiat money manipulated by a central bank. Capitalism cherishes voluntary contracts and interest rates that are determined by savings, not credit creation by a central bank. It’s not capitalism when the system is plagued with incomprehensible rules regarding mergers, acquisitions, and stock sales, along with wage controls, price controls, protectionism, corporate subsidies, international management of trade, complex and punishing corporate taxes, privileged government contracts to the military-industrial complex, and a foreign policy controlled by corporate interests and overseas investments. Add to this centralized federal mismanagement of farming, education, medicine, insurance, banking and welfare. This is not capitalism!

It’s hard to agree with Paul on the requirement for a gold or other commodity-based currency: another great believer in freedom, Friedman, dismisses the idea convincingly in Capitalism and Freedom, before asking:

If we can achieve our objectives neither by relying on the working of a fully automatic gold standard, nor by giving wide discretion to independent authorities, how else can we establish a monetary system free from irresponsible governmental tinkering, a system which will provide the necessary monetary framework for a free enterprise economy yet be incapable of being used as a source of power to threaten economic and political freedom?

We need some fine minds on this problem, minds that can find a sound alternative to the present system that will enable the restoration of competitive, free market capitalism and the prospect of avoiding boom and bust.

I see the European Commission is pressing ahead with legislation to “beef up” bank supervision: let’s hope they get it right.

read more | digg story

Oops! Bank customer data sold on eBay

A computer containing a million bank customers’ personal data has reportedly been sold on an internet auction site.

RBS says an archiving firm told it the PC had apparently been “inappropriately sold on via a third party”.

It said historical information relating to credit card applications for their bank and others had been on the machine.

The information is said to include account details and in some cases customers’ signatures, mobile phone numbers and mothers’ maiden names.

So, who can be trusted with our personal data?

read more | digg story

Financial crisis “no longer funny”

Readable expert opinion on the financial crisis, including bald predictions: there will be more rogue traders, good salesmen will hoodwink smart people, convexity will be missed, correlation products will blow up dramatically, risk management will fail, volatility will increase enormously at times for no economic reason, too much money will …

read more

iFund – $100,000,000 to develop iPhone applications

KPCB have set up the iFund to “fund market-changing ideas and products that extend the revolutionary new iPhone and iPod touch platform. The iFund™ is agnostic to size and stage of investment and will invest in companies building applications, services and components. Focus areas include location based services, social networking, mCommerce (including advertising and payments), communication, and entertainment. The iFund™ will back innovators pursuing transformative, high-impact ideas with an eye towards building independent durable companies atop the iPhone / iPod touch platform.”

Umm – that’s exciting. The iPhone is a personal, broadband device, with revolutionary input devices – touch and accelerometers – so people’s imagination should run wild.

Visitor locations, 3 months to March 08

Google’s analytics tool is superb: it turns out my readers are mostly in Oxford and London.

Thanks for keeping in touch!

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Suffocation for business innovation

There is the potential for a long post here, but for the moment, I’ll stick to “Innovation grants”.

A small client worked for weeks, hiring consultants, to obtain an innovation grant for part of one R&D effort. They won a grant, and then spent the duration of the  project accounting for its use in excruciating detail. The person who did that accounting was a key employee: there was no one else available in such a lean and effective company. By the end of the period, they regretted the whole miserable episode and wished they had spent the time finding new customers and consulting instead.

There is already a well-established system that allows companies to raise funds: equities and bonds. If it’s too expensive for small firms to raise capital in the markets, maybe government has a role through investing in British entrepreneurs through a venture capital fund.

I’m reminded of Thomas Deacon city academy, where:

Britain’s most expensive state school is being built without a playground because those running it believe that pupils should be treated like company employees and do not need unstructured play time.   

And then people wring their hands over a lack of entrepreneurs. Absurd! 

The United Kingdom is labouring under a suffocating blanket of bureaucracy, which explodes year on year. Anyone who thinks it helps us compete with a well-educated, ambitious Asia is seriously misguided, at best.

Performance indicators

This morning, I found myself reflecting once more on the use of military language in corporations. All day, I hear about strategy, tactics and operations. We “attack” things, usually costs or inefficiencies. And now software is to be a “weapon”. The duty manager has a “second in command”.

I wonder who among the people promoting this language could understand or perhaps be moved by General Sir Mike Jackson’s comments in his Dimbleby lecture:

The role of the MoD is to translate the Government’s political objectives into military capabilities and military operations; it’s therefore both a Department of State and the supreme headquarters of the Armed Forces. These two roles can be uneasy bedfellows, and that unease can be to the detriment of the Armed Forces. The Department of State appears to assume that commercial so-called “best practice”, with its proliferation of performance indicators and targets, transfers seemingly without question to defence in general, and to the Armed Forces in particular; I find such an assumption to be without foundation. Incidentally, who judges best practice? And this obsessive measurement which goes on is often against plans, not actually against real-world requirement. So we get the Kafka-esque situation whereby the MoD congratulates itself on improving accommodation according to a plan based on what it calls affordability, but which is far from what is defined by the needs of soldiers and their families. In stark contrast to all of this – operations, fighting, are demonstrably not commercial activities. I am very clear about the only performance indicator which really matters to the Armed Forces – to achieve whatever objectives are set to us; that is, to win.

It’s worth watching the speech – the video is linked from this page – and particularly how he delivers the text above, from 5:30 to the end of the video. The General makes a couple of grammatical errors: he’s not using a teleprompter or a script, just notes.

Good leaders should know what they want to say and say it simply.