New Report: Shale Gas Shock Challenges Climate and Energy Policies

Via the GWPF, a new report - Shale Gas Shock Challenges Climate and Energy Policies:

London, 4 May - The Global Warming Policy Foundation today publishes a detailed report about the shale gas revolution and its likely implications for UK and international climate policy.

The report The Shale Gas Shock, written by Matt Ridley and with a foreword by Professor Freeman Dyson, finds that shale gas:

  • is not only abundant but relatively cheap and therefore promises to take market share from nuclear, coal and renewable energy and to replace oil in some transport and industrial uses, over coming decades.
  • will help to keep the price of nitrogen fertiliser low and hence keep food prices down, other things being equal.
  • is unlikely to be a major source of pollution or methane emissions, but in contrast promises to reduce pollution and accelerate the decarbonisation of the world economy.

Matt Ridley, the author of the GWPF report, said:

“Abundant and relatively cheap shale gas promises to lower the cost of gas relative to oil, coal and renewables. It indefinitely postpones the exhaustion of fossil fuels and makes reducing emissions of carbon dioxide possible without raising energy prices.”

It’s a fascinating report and I recommend reading it in full (PDF).

Visiting McDonalds, High Wycombe

I am grateful to Cliff Webb, the franchisee of McDonalds, High Wycombe, for a visit yesterday. Cliff employs over 200 people.

It seems to me that McDonalds comes in for some unfair criticism. The franchise succeeds because it provides food that people want at the right price and level of service. Those who don’t like the firm and its food don’t have to eat there.

Notwithstanding Super Size Me, it’s common sense that one cannot live by McDonalds alone. I wonder if it is strictly necessary for the government to say so. If substantial numbers of people now cannot figure out for themselves what a healthy, balanced diet looks like, how did this come to pass and are the self same people reading the government’s guidelines?

Update

One of my fine academic colleagues has supplied this quote:

McDonald’s has made more millionaires, and especially black and Hispanic millionaires, than any other economic entity ever, anywhere.

– George Will, “Lovin’ It All Over”, Washington Post, December 27, 2007

Business trip to New York


Manhattan, originally uploaded by stevenjbaker.

Flew there Sunday, trained a team of financial professionals Monday, training and consulting Tuesday and flew home overnight. I thoroughly recommend Smith and Wollensky for steak, but go hungry! A great pleasure to visit a great city.

This is the way to do it: with just four hours difference at this time of year and a short trip, jet lag is no problem. Economy seats through the night, however, win no friends.

(Took my compact camera, forgetting the battery, so we’re stuck with this scrappy iPhone image. That’s the remarkable art deco Chysler Building top left.)

Starving Zimbabweans face food aid cut

Via Starving Zimbabweans face food aid cut | World news | guardian.co.uk :

The World Food Programme is to cut the core maize ration in February from 10kg to 5kg a month – or just 600 calories a day – for 7 million Zimbabweans, about 70% of the people left in the country. The recommended ration is 12kg a month.

As a result of the cuts, many Zimbabweans will be fortunate to eat once a day. Millions have been left dependent on food aid because of years of crop failures mostly caused by the knock-on effects of the government’s seizure of white-owned farms and the collapse of the economy and infrastructure. Most shops sell food only for US dollars because hyperinflation has wiped out the value of the Zimbabwe currency, and what is available is relatively expensive imports beyond the reach of the mass of unemployed and desperate Zimbabweans.

If you give via Tearfund, just £30 could provide a person with food for six months. 

Please, give now.

Telegraph – Government panel to keep food prices down

The new Council of Food Policy Advisors, chaired by Dame Suzi Leather, Chair of the Charity Commission, will advise on food distribution and consumption as well as pricing.

Food shopping bills rose at their fastest rate since records began last year, with bread, rice, pasta and meat all going up by well over the rate of inflation.

And this is before the impact of the falling pound on food imports. This looks awfully like the road to price controls: price controls do not work [1, 2] and they never have:

In 284 A.D. the Roman emperor Diocletian created inflation by placing too much money in circulation, and then “fixed the maximum prices at which beef, grain, eggs, clothing and other articles could be sold, and prescribed the penalty of death for anyone who disposed of his wares at a higher figure.” The results, as Schuettinger and Butler explain, quoting an ancient historian, were that “the people brought provisions no more to markets, since they could not get a reasonable price for them and this increased the dearth so much, that at last after many had died by it, the law itself was set aside.”

Much better to let farmers get on with it.

read more | digg story

Rich countries launch great land grab to safeguard food

One to watch:

Rich governments and corporations are triggering alarm for the poor as they buy up the rights to millions of hectares of agricultural land in developing countries in an effort to secure their own long-term food supplies.

read more | digg story

World Bank warns on ‘human crisis’ of high food prices

World Bank president Robert Zoellick urged governments to act to contain a mounting “human crisis” today, as he warned that 44 million of the world’s poorest people would be driven into malnutrition this year, as a result of high food prices.

read more | digg story

Russian wheat as a foreign policy tool

WheatToday’s Telegraph reports:

The largest wheat harvest in 15 years is expected to yield 51 million tons, of which a record-breaking 15 million are earmarked for export. Only the US and Canada are expected to export more.

Growing influence in the Middle East and more collaboration in the energy sector, plus increasing Kremlin control: a story to watch?

Further pressure on food from EU regulation

The EU will be limiting the number of pesticides available to farmers. Lower yields and higher prices are expected. No impact assessment was carried out for the proposals.

It’s as if the bureaucrats think regulation is free!

read more | digg story

Rural France and the EU food police

I listened this morning to a Today Programme podcast concerning rural France. An Englishman resident in Normandy was explaining how the villagers scurry around protecting themselves from the “EU gestapo”.

To avoid the condemnation of much that is sold to the satisfaction of all concerned, the villagers monitor the train station, watch car numberplates and keep an eye out for strangers. They have to hide cheeses and chickens when these over-eager busybodies emerge.

This episode probably speaks for itself.