Brussels poses serious threat to our welfare reforms – Telegraph

IDS writes for the Telegraph:

This Government is currently striving to build a new welfare system, one based on a fairer deal between claimants and the British taxpayer. But a decision emerging from Europe this week has the potential to completely undermine these reforms.

The UK has no problem playing its part in supporting the free movement of labour in the EU. However, what the EU is now trying to do is get us to provide benefits for those who come to this country with no intention to work and no other means of supporting themselves, with the sole purpose of accessing a more generous benefit system.

More: Brussels poses serious threat to our welfare reforms – Telegraph.

More banking sector bailouts? When will the madness end? – Telegraph Blogs

The excellent Andrew Lilico: More banking sector bailouts? When will the madness end?

The IMF Global Stability Report suggests that banks might be €200-€300 billion down as a result of the Eurozone crisis.  The predictable cry has arisen that this shortfall should be made up by governments.  Really?  So, let’s see.

It’s well worth a read. The previously prevailing consensus is unsustainable: banks must stand as commercial enterprises. As Andrew writes, “It’s not up to poor people to pay taxes so that rich people can be spared the consequences of their gambles and mistakes.” Quite right.

These welfare reforms won’t hit the spot – Frank Field MP

An article well worth reading in full - These welfare reforms won’t hit the spot – Frank Field MP:

Overwhelmingly, voters reject the idea that the right to welfare should be decided on grounds of need. A vast majority insists that welfare should instead be earned. Voters are deeply uneasy with the direction of policy, begun in the early Sixties, that has seen Britain move away from its insurance-based system, where benefits were awarded only to those who had paid in, to a means-tested system that gives a universal right to benefits to anyone whose income is below a certain level. Especially since, under the guise of tax credits, a third of the country has been sucked into the welfare net.

On capital, international development and raising the poor out of poverty

Via The Economic Role of Saving and Capital Goods – Mises Institute (emphasis mine):

What distinguishes contemporary life in the countries of Western civilization from conditions as they prevailed in earlier ages – and still exist for the greater number of those living today – is not the changes in the supply of labor and the skill of the workers and not the familiarity with the exploits of pure science and their utilization by the applied sciences, by technology. It is the amount of capital accumulated. The issue has been intentionally obscured by the verbiage employed by the international and national government agencies dealing with what is called foreign aid for the underdeveloped countries. What these poor countries need in order to adopt the Western methods of mass production for the satisfaction of the wants of the masses is not information about a “know how.” There is no secrecy about technological methods. They are taught at the technological schools and they are accurately described in textbooks, manuals, and periodical magazines. There are many experienced specialists available for the execution of every project that one may find practicable for these backward countries. What prevents a country like India from adopting the American methods of industry is the paucity of its supply of capital goods. As the Indian government’s confiscatory policies are deterring foreign capitalists from investing in India and as its prosocialist bigotry sabotages domestic accumulation of capital, their country depends on the alms that Western nations are giving to it.

The Government does not wish to balance the budget on the backs of the poorest. Fine. But let’s not kid ourselves: sustainable prosperity in the developing world will only come through capital accumulation: that is, through local, pro-capitalist policies.

It’s a notion we might pay attention to ourselves.

If the state taxes away ‘surplus’ cash, those people taxed are no longer free to save and invest that money. Apart from the disincentives to earning created by high taxes, those measures are prejudicial to saving and investing in the very capital goods which would raise real incomes for everyone.

Much the same can be said of inheritance tax. When capital goods are sold to pay taxes, the money which might have been invested in new capital merely changes hands and passes to the state. When that money funds the state’s present consumption or debt interest, new capital goods are not formed.

As for capital gains taxes, it’s becoming obvious that many increases in asset prices are due to currency debasement – inflation – so, far from taxing profits, capital gains taxes may actually erode capital by passing the poisonous benefits of inflation from investors to the state.

That is, inheritance taxes, capital gains taxes and complex “progressive” income taxes make the poor poorer than they would have been by diminishing the formation of new capital goods.

Those who are serious about raising the standard of living of the majority should not advocate higher tax rates for those with something to spare. If we really cared about the poor and those on modest incomes, we would slash taxes and radically simplify the tax code.

On the biggest threat to our prosperity

From a superb article by Detlev Schlichter, which I recommend in full:

Of course, by printing new money, expanding the central bank balance sheet and artificially lowering interest rates, – something that has been done on a vast scale for decades on end! – extra economic activity can be generated for a period. Lower interest rates fool the public into believing that more savings are available, that the consumer is okay with more resources being diverted from meeting present consumption needs and towards meeting needs in the more remote future. Low interest rates mean that the factor of time is less of an issue when planning resource allocation. That would be okay if low interest rates reflected society’s true time preference and propensity to save – if low interest rates were the result of saving and not money-printing. But in our world of fully elastic state money, interest rates are simply another policy tool. Easy monetary policy thus leads to asset prices and economic structures that are not in line with the true preferences of the consumer. Whenever the supply of new money slows, this becomes evident, the credit-structure begins to unravel and a recession sets in. However, the central bank then quickly lowers rates again, and sets off another artificial boom.

This has been going on, pretty much uninterrupted, for forty years. It is, as I said, the very essence of modern central banking and the paper money economy. All around us, the distortions that a system of fully flexible paper money must generate are increasingly palpable: an inflated and increasingly unstable financial sector, overstretched fractional-reserve banks, asset price bubbles, serial bailouts, excessive debt levels, persistent distortions in income and wealth distribution.

This is not capitalism. In fact, this system gives capitalism a bad name.

New Deal in Old Rome

From the Mises store:

How Government in the Ancient World Tried to Deal with Modern Problems

What a fantastic way to learn ancient history: via the parallels with modern times.

H.J. Haskell was a journalist with a huge background in ancient history, and here he does what everyone has wanted done. He details the amazing catalog of government interventions in old Rome that eventually brought the empire down. He shows the spending, the inflating, the attempt to fix prices and raise wage, the infrastructure boondoggles, the gross displays of public entertainment, the welfare scams, and much more.

At every step he draws a parallel with modern times. Modern governments also destroy the money to fund the state, extend vast military empires that are unmanageable, try to control the market order, and attempt to rig political decision making in order to buy off the population.

The comparisons between then and now generate ominous lessons for our times.

This book was a smash hit when it first came out in 1939, and yet it went out of print, and hasn’t been in print in half a century.

It seems fascinating and the PDF of the book is available here.

Update: From the conclusion:

The fundamental modern social problem is the problem that Rome failed to solve. It is the problem of building a unified yet free society, with decent minimum standards of living. A society so intelligently and justly organized that there is no menacing submerged class. A society that provides reasonable incentives for the free rise of a general staff of competent managers whose ranks are always open to fresh recruits. A society that develops a social pressure under which leaders accept an enlightened and far-sighted view of their responsibilities. This is the society which the long experience of Rome sets as a goal before the modern world.

As ever, it seems, “Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.”

IDS on welfare reform

Via The Blue Blog » Our welfare reforms will make work pay:

At the election, the Conservatives made a promise to you to get Britain working. Now we are delivering on that promise.

This Government is on the side of people who want to get ahead. The plans we have announced in the last few days will get people into work and will reform the welfare system to ensure that work always pays and no one can say they are better off on benefits.

At the election, we promised to work to reduce the very high marginal tax rates faced by many people on low incomes who want to return to work or increase their earnings. The Welfare Bill I introduced yesterday delivers on that promise. We will start to reduce these rates and simplify the system by introducing the Universal Credit, ensuring it will always pay to work.

Just last Friday, I met a young mum stuck in the benefits trap in Wycombe. She can’t take any more work, even though it is there for her, and she is fed up of seeing people better off on benefits. She just wants to get on but the system is stopping her. Where is the social justice in that?

I have her permission to use her story in Parliament and I look forward to doing so. The present nightmare is just plain wrong.

On Inflation

Later, I’ll set out the case against inflation, which is caused by the instutional design of the banking system. For the moment, here’s a relevant article from the Cobden Centre:

Mr Smith works hard, plans carefully, and saves what he can, putting his money into a building society. He pays his credit card bills off each month, and tries to overpay his mortgage when he can.

Mr Smith got a 3% pay rise last year – inflation was only 2% – so he felt good about that. But… he doesn’t feel any wealthier.

Year after year, the government had said that the economy was growing strongly, but still, things seemed harder for his family and him. Train ticket prices up again. Heating bills rocketed when the price of oil went up, but never seemed to come down. He swears a loaf of bread and a pint of milk were much cheaper in years gone by.

When he changes his cash for Euros, he realises that his holiday in France is now unbearably expensive. His tax rates didn’t go up, but still, after all his bills were paid, he seemed to have less and less spare cash than he remembers a few years ago.

There are Mr Smiths everywhere. Careful folk, who plan, save for a rainy day and have a sense of personal responsibility.

Smith is the target.

Read the rest of the article.

Who will make a speech like this for our time?

You and I have a rendezvous with destiny. We will preserve for our children this, the last best hope of man on Earth, or we will sentence them to take the last step into a thousand years of darkness.

We will keep in mind and remember that Barry Goldwater has faith in us. He has faith that you and I have the ability and the dignity and the right to make our own decisions and determine our own destiny.

And from this speech:

From the joy and the good feeling of this conference, I go to a political reception. [Laughter] Now, I don’t know why, but that bit of scheduling reminds me of a story which I’ll share with you.

An evangelical minister and a politician arrived at Heaven’s gate one day together. And St. Peter, after doing all the necessary formalities, took them in hand to show them where their quarters would be. And he took them to a small, single room with a bed, a chair, and a table and said this was for the clergyman. And the politician was a little worried about what might be in store for him. And he couldn’t believe it then when St. Peter stopped in front of a beautiful mansion with lovely grounds, many servants, and told him that these would be his quarters.

And he couldn’t help but ask, he said, “But wait, how — there’s something wrong — how do I get this mansion while that good and holy man only gets a single room?” And St. Peter said, “You have to understand how things are up here. We’ve got thousands and thousands of clergy. You’re the first politician who ever made it.”

More on the IFS’ budget analysis

Via The TaxPayers’ Alliance – Economics 101: The IFS spreadsheet doesn’t tell us what policy choices are best for the poor:

Suppose you invented a policy, some kind of economic miracle, which doubled the incomes of the poorest ten per cent of families without the Government spending a pound.  That would reduce benefit spending.  It would also increase tax revenues from the poorest.  The same method that the IFS are using in their reports would show the effects of that policy as horribly regressive, cutting spending on the poor and shifting the fiscal scales against them.

Of course that is an extreme and artificial example.  But it shows the big problem with the IFS analysis, which essentially assumes that the fortunes of the poor add up to the amount of Government money spent on them.