Home » Posts tagged "Statistics"

Tag Archives: Statistics

Good news on GDP


Everyone but the Opposition will be pleased by today’s GDP figures: GDP was estimated to have increased by 1.0 per cent in Q3 2012 compared with Q2 2012 Output of the production industries was estimated to have increased by 1.1 per cent in Q3 2012 compared with Q2 2012, following a decrease of 0.7 per cent between Q1 2012 and Q2 2012 Construction sector output was estimated to have decreased by 2.5 per cent in Q3 2012 compared with Q2 […]

Tags: , ,

The GDP figures: are economists failing the Chancellor?


Post Image

Today’s GDP figures have made the news through being significantly worse than forecast: there was a 0.7% fall in output compared to expectations of 0.2%. Here’s how the November 2010 forecast from the Office for Budget Responsibility (PDF) compares to the GDP data from the Office for National Statistics (PDF): Here’s how the OBR GDP projection looked in November 2010 (PDF): And in March 2012, just 16 months later (PDF): Now it’s true that the ONS data is provided quarterly and the […]

Tags: , , , , , ,