Drowning in an ocean of debt

NB: I am not Steve Baker.

We are drowning in an ocean of debt. The video above my be an American example, but it serves us well when highlighting the dire straights the British economy is in under this Labour Government.

Government isn’t any different from the average person – in that it shouldn’t act in a fiscally irresponsible manner. If you or I were to go into debt, there would be pressure heaped on us to pay back that money and we certainly couldn’t print our own ‘new’ money and call it quits.

The current Government thinks it can get away with doing simply that. By piling up huge piles of debt and flooding the economy with printed money we don’t have (Quantitative Easing) we are perilously close to a debt deficit mirroring the Greek state, which is in a State of Emergency. Dan Hannan MEP also underlines the level of the problem:

Gordon Brown will borrow more in the next two years than in the whole history of our national debt, since it was instituted in 1693.

In short, a Government must live within its means.

Labour also need to understand that Governments don’t possess money themselves. What they do have is access to tax payers’ money now and in future, so when they decide to raise taxes it shouldn’t be to service their level of debt.

I am in full agreement with Policy Exchange’s report titled: Controlling Spending and Government Deficits, which examines how Britain might best rid itself of its astronomical debt. Andrew Lilico, Policy Exchange’s Chief Economist, says:

We found that a number of countries which cut their deficits benefited from lower long term interest rates and higher confidence, leading to faster growth as a result. However, it is important that most of the deficit reduction effort should come from spending cuts not tax rises. We found that countries which tried to fix their finances mostly with tax rises have tended to fail.

This is also closely allied to the idea that Britain needs to get back to being a nation of savers. As David Cameron has stated on a number of occasions we need a culture of personal responsibility and what better place to start than being economically and fiscally responsible in your everyday transactions.

This is something Labour does not grasp in public policy, take for example, the recent revelation about their secret plan for a 10% ‘death tax’, as Mark Wallace of the Taxpayers’ Alliance said:

It is totally unfair to punish people for doing the right thing and saving up all their lives, when they are taxed on earning and saving the money in the first place.

In effect what Labour is doing is encouraging a reckless spending culture. This does not teach responsibility and if a Government can’t take a lead and act responsibility then they are not fit to govern.

How to transform a nation in ten steps

The Georgian recipe for “an amazing transformation”:

  • Low and flat taxes
  • Legislative commitment to reducing the government’s fiscal footprint (IE spend less!)
  • Deregulation and cutting red tape
  • And thereby suppressing corruption
  • Unilateral free trade: no import tariffs or barriers of any kind
  • Very flexible labour legislation
  • No sector or industrial policy of any kind
  • No subsidies, no preferences, no exemptions – no market-distorting practices
  • No currency and capital controls
  • Sound monetary policy with hawkish anti-inflationary stance

See also: Tory conference: Georgia’s Prime Minister makes surprise appearance.

Hat tip to Dr Tim Evans

A critical error of the Left

As Labour pours another £11bn of poison into the wells, I find myself reflecting on the economics of the Left, people who seem to be lamenting coming “Tory cuts” after so much “Labour investment”.

In the first place, Labour plan their own substantial cuts. More to the point, Labour’s spending was funded not by sustainable prosperity, but by one long credit expansion unbacked by real savings, which has now, inevitably, come to an end.

Left-wingers’ admirable intentions seem to be unmatched by a reasonable understanding of the means to bring about the good ends they intend.
Read more

James Tyler doodles pictures

Over at The Cobden Centre, my colleague James Tyler explores the FTSE All Share index priced in oz of gold, which, it turns out, tends to maintain its purchasing power over centuries:

FTSE All share in terms of oz gold

FTSE All share in terms of oz gold (click for story)

James is Chief Executive of Tyler Capital and a keen supporter of honest money in the interests of the ordinary person.

Read more here.

Speaking at the IEA on fiscal policy » The Cobden Centre

On Tuesday, I spoke at the IEA’s The State of the Economy conference, participating in a panel discussion on Fiscal Policy and Government Expenditure with Edmund Conway, Sir John Bourn, Graeme Leach and Danny Alexander MP.

Read more via Steve Baker speaks at the IEA on fiscal policy » The Cobden Centre.

Ofgem urges a shake-up of the energy market

This post originally appeared at cobdencentre.org.

Via FT.com, Ofgem urges a shake-up of the energy market,

Sweeping reforms of the UK’s energy market must be brought in urgently to protect energy supplies, reduce greenhouse gas emissions and deliver the £200bn investment needed in the power sector, the energy regulator said on Wednesday.

Ofgem said options for reform would include placing more stringent legal obligations on energy suppliers, and “improved market signals”, which could include a higher price on carbon dioxide emissions. More drastic options could include a centralised renewables market and a central buyer of energy for the whole of the UK.

Which all seems very well, until you realise that this is the fruit of an ideological aversion to the free mutual cooperation of individuals and corporations. Ofgem apparently tell us, “It would mean taking away the market’s role in delivering that investment.”

We need to make our minds up about whether planned or free economies can provide us with the means of our survival and prosperity. History’s answer is clear: planned economies cause misery and then collapse.

Further reading

Hayek v Keynes

Via www.zerohedge.com and econstories.tv, the choice in economics explained through the medium of music:

See also

Soviet Britain

Via the Institute for Economic Affairs, we discover the state devouring the economy – ie, the cooperative actions of free people – for over a century:

See also The Times Online, ‘Soviet’ Britain swells amid the recession:

The state now looms far larger in many parts of Britain than it did in former Soviet satellite states such as Hungary and Slovakia as they emerged from communism in the 1990s, when state spending accounted for about 60% of their economies.

And Mises in Planning for Freedom:

The middle-of-the-road policy is not an economic system that can last. It is a method for the realization of socialism by installments.

And so it is coming to pass: a pity socialism means despotism and ruin, not utopia. There is another way.

See also

Not rearing pigs

A friend recently sent me this celebrated letter on the absurdity of bureaucracy. If you have not seen it, enjoy:

Rt Hon David Miliband MP
Secretary of State.
Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA),
Nobel House
17 Smith Square
London
SW1P 3JR

16 July 2009

Dear Secretary of State,

My friend, who is in farming at the moment, recently received a cheque for £3,000 from the Rural Payments Agency for not rearing pigs.. I would now like to join the “not rearing pigs” business.

In your opinion, what is the best kind of farm not to rear pigs on, and which is the best breed of pigs not to rear? I want to be sure I approach this endeavour in keeping with all government policies, as dictated by the EU under the Common Agricultural Policy.

I would prefer not to rear bacon pigs, but if this is not the type you want not rearing, I will just as gladly not rear porkers. Are there any advantages in not rearing rare breeds such as Saddlebacks or Gloucester Old Spots, or are there too many people already not rearing these?

As I see it, the hardest part of this programme will be keeping an accurate record of how many pigs I haven’t reared. Are there any Government or Local Authority courses on this?

My friend is very satisfied with this business. He has been rearing pigs for forty years or so, and the best he ever made on them was £1,422 in 1968. That is – until this year, when he received a cheque for not rearing any.

If I get £3,000 for not rearing 50 pigs, will I get £6,000 for not rearing 100? I plan to operate on a small scale at first, holding myself down to about 4,000 pigs not raised, which will mean about £240,000 for the first year. As I become more expert in not rearing pigs, I plan to be more ambitious, perhaps increasing to, say, 40,000 pigs not reared in my second year, for which I should expect about £2.4 million from your department. Incidentally, I wonder if I would be eligible to receive tradable carbon credits for all these pigs not producing harmful and polluting methane gases?

Another point: These pigs that I plan not to rear will not eat 2,000 tonnes of cereals. I understand that you also pay farmers for not growing crops. Will I qualify for payments for not growing cereals to not feed the pigs I don’t rear?

I am also considering the “not milking cows” business, so please send any information you have on that too. Please could you also include the current Defra advice on set aside fields? Can this be done on an e-commerce basis with virtual fields (of which I seem to have several thousand hectares)?

In view of the above you will realise that I will be totally unemployed, and will therefore qualify for unemployment benefits. I shall of course be voting for your party at the next general election.

Yours faithfully,

Nigel Johnson-Hill

Further reading

Razeen Sally, “Trade Policy, New Century”

This post originally appeared on cobdencentre.org.

Razeen Sally’s Trade Policy, New Century (PDF) succeeds magnificently in explaining the 21st-century case for free trade and, specifically, unilateral trade liberalisation to the interested, non-specialist reader.

From the IEA home page of the book:

The World Trade Organization (WTO) is failing to deliver the trade liberalisation desperately needed to bring prosperity to developing countries, according to a new study released today by the Institute of Economic Affairs. The WTO is hamstrung by a cumbersome negotiating model and the influence of vocal protectionist lobbies who oppose free markets. At the same time, increasingly popular regional ‘free-trade agreements’ often create as many barriers as they remove by erecting new obstacles to trade with countries outside the blocs concerned.

In the context of policy paralysis at the WTO, the author, LSE trade expert Dr Razeen Sally, argues that governments must take back the initiative from supranational institutions. The priority must be unilateral liberalisation – removing trade barriers to benefit domestic consumers rather than waiting for tortuous international negotiations to be resolved. Governments can also help maximise the benefits of free trade by liberalising their economies and strengthening key institutions.

But what is the imperative for the UK? Surely, European Union citizens enjoy free trade?

The EU is a customs union: we trade ostensibly freely within it, but, as can be seen from the EU’s TARIC database, we find ourselves behind a complex system of tariffs on, for example, wheat, notwithstanding the battle long since won by our inspiration, Richard Cobden, to repeal England’s Corn Laws in the general interest.

And this is the key point: free trade is in the general interest. We may make the political and economic arguments in detail, but the public good is our ultimate aim, and not just at home. Razeen Sally explains (pp179-180, emphasis mine):

Adam Smith fortified his presumption in favour of free trade with an explicit political argument. Protectionism is driven by ‘the clamorous importunity of partial interests’ who capture government and prevent it from having ‘an extensive view of the general good’. Free trade, in contrast, tilts the balance away from rent-seeking producer interests and towards the mass of consumers. It is part of a wider constitutional package to keep government limited, transparent and clean, enabling it to concentrate better on the public good.

As important to Smith and Hume was the moral case for free trade, centred on individual freedom. Individual choice is the engine of free trade, and of progressive commercial society more generally. It sparks what Hume called a ‘spirit of industry’; it results in much better life-chances, not just for the select few but for individuals in the broad mass of society who are able to lead more varied and interesting lives.

To sum up: free trade is of course associated with standard economic efficiency arguments. But the classical-liberal case for free trade is more rounded, taking in the moral imperative of individual freedom and linking it to prosperity. Finally, free trade contributes to, though it does not guarantee, peaceful international relations. Freedom, prosperity, security: this trinity lies at the heart of the case for free trade.

In a short article, I can scarcely do justice to this monograph’s insight in relation to the case for classic liberalism nor to its observations on emerging geopolitics: I heartily recommend the book.

Further reading

Crass Keynesianism

The Cobden Centre

This article originally appeared at cobdencentre.org.

Via Thrifty families accused of prolonging the recession – Times Online, yet more crass Keynesianism:

Anxious families are repaying debts instead of spending in the shops, amid concern over the uncertain economic outlook. The share of income saved in banks and building societies has risen to its highest level in more than a decade, heightening fears that faltering consumer demand could prolong the recession.

But see also Correction, Mr. Bernanke:

It is real savings that fund economic activity. The increase in the pool of real savings is the key behind sustained real economic growth.

These two authors make fundamentally different diagnoses and policy prescriptions because economics is not a positive applied science comparable to, say, physics. There are at least four schools of economic thinking, as Jeffey Tucker explains, but only one school predicted the bust.

This conflict over whether saving promotes recovery really matters: if the wrong side win and policy makers take heed, the recession will be deeper and longer than necessary.

Further reading

Big Players and the Economic Theory of Expectations

This post originally appeared on cobdencentre.org.

Via FT.com / US / Economy & Fed – Fed signals pullback in liquidity supports, we learn:

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday upgraded its assessment of the US economy and highlighted its intention to shut down most of its crisis-fighting liquidity facilities in early 2010.

And consequently:

Stocks eased slightly after the Fed statement, while the yield curve in the bond market steepened.


Which brings us on to Roger Koppl’s Big Players and the Economic Theory of Expectations.

I am indebted to Cobden Centre Supporter Bruno Prior for introducing me to Koppl’s work which extends the tradition of Ludwig von Mises, Friedrich Hayek and others, unusually, applying empirical methods to demonstrate the application of the theory.

Koppl demonstrates, with extensive reference to other scholars, that investment and all other economic actions depend on “subjective” expectations. He then presents a theory of expectations which assumes people interpret their situations in unpredictable ways. This theory includes a theory of “Big Players”:

Big Players are privileged actors who disrupt markets. A Big Player has three defining characteristics. He is big in the sense that his actions influence the market under study. He is insensitive to the discipline of profit and loss. He is arbitrary in the sense that his actions depend on discretion rather than any set of rules. Big Players have power and use it.

We learn that Big Players reduce the reliability of expectations, thereby disrupting markets. They encourage herding and produce perverse effects on entrepreneurship: traders must pay attention to the Big Player and not the fundamentals.

And so we find today, for example, the markets moving in response to the Fed not the realities of the economy…

Cranmer: Conservatives launch Debt Clock

Via Cranmer: Conservatives launch Debt Clock:

What you could buy with the interest on Labour’s debt:

If Britain was not going to spend £63.7 billion a year on debt interest, we could:

Abolish fuel duty, inheritance tax, and stamp duty or

Abolish council tax or

Pay for 1.5 million extra police officers or

Pay for 1.6 million extra teachers or

Pay for 1.9 million extra nurses or

Cut the basic rate of income tax by over 13p.

Britain will spend more next year on paying the interest on Labour’s debt than on educating our schoolchildren. The Dedicated Schools Grant in 2010-11 will be £31.9 billion. Debt interest payments will be £42.9 billion in 2010-11, and are estimated to rise to £63.7 billion by 2013-4.

And so on…

Credit – Frederic Bastiat – Mises Institute

Via the Mises Institute, a little Bastiat demonstrating how little is new under the sun:

In all times, but more especially of late years, attempts have been made to extend wealth by the extension of credit.

I believe it is no exaggeration to say, that since the revolution of February, the Parisian presses have issued more than 10,000 pamphlets, crying up this solution of the social problem.

The only basis, alas, of this solution, is an optical delusion — if, indeed, an optical delusion can be called a basis at all.

The first thing done is to confuse cash with produce, then paper money with cash; and from these two confusions it is pretended that a reality can be drawn.

Read on…

Sustainability: An Assault on Economics – Tyler A. Watts

One of my key areas of interest is how to deliver sustainable, stable and inclusive prosperity. This is why I dedicate so much time to economics.

However, the word “sustainable” may not convey the same thing to everyone: via Sustainability: An Assault on Economics – Tyler A. Watts – Mises Institute:

The sustainability movement is an assault on economics. It claims at its core that prices don’t operate through time to direct consumption and production decisions in a sustainable way. A lesson in basic economics should suffice to defend against the sustainists’ attack.

Prices arise in the market economy as a concomitant of mutually beneficial exchange. People want things that improve their lives — we call this value. Some valuable things are more scarce than others; take the classic case of water and diamonds. In absolute terms, water is more valuable than diamonds: you don’t need diamonds to live.

Yet water is, pound for pound, far cheaper. Why? Although it’s valuable, it is also relatively abundant; in many parts of the world, it literally does fall from the sky. The price of any good reflects this combination of value and scarcity. We’re willing to pay more for valuable things as they become relatively scarce (e.g., oil); and we needn’t pay as much for valuable things as they become more abundant (e.g., grain).

Likewise, as scarce things lose their value, people are no longer willing to pay for them (e.g., typewriters), and people must pay more for scarce things that suddenly become sought after (e.g., vintage Michael Jackson records). The awesome thing about prices is that they seamlessly convey this combination of facts about an item’s value (demand) and it’s scarcity (supply). Prices, of course, are subject to change — prices of certain goods fluctuate every day. But this is a good thing; discernable trends in prices over time indicate relative changes in the “market fundamentals” of supply and demand.

Read more.

I am put in mind of this from philosopher Karl Popper:

Do not allow your dreams of a beautiful world to lure you away from the claims of men who suffer here and now. Our fellow men have a claim to our help; no generation must be sacrificed for the sake of future generations, for the sake of an ideal of happiness that may never be realised.

FT.com – Manufacturing fades under Labour

The impact of a poor understanding of the role of interest rates in coordinating the economy through time and of the capital structure of production:

The importance of manufacturing to the economy declined more rapidly under Labour administrations since 1997 than it did during the Margaret Thatcher era, according to a Financial Times study.

The big winners in the same period were bankers, estate agents and public sector workers, whose sectors’ share of output increased under the Labour governments of Tony Blair, the former prime minister, and Gordon Brown, his successor. The findings about the state of the economy were uncovered during a study of data held by the Office for National Statistics.

Manufacturing accounted for more than 20 per cent of the economy in 1997, when Labour came to power critical of the country having too narrow an industrial base. But by 2007, that share had declined to 12.4 per cent.

via FT.com / UK – Manufacturing fades under Labour.

Further reading

An invitation to consider some fundamental questions

I have often said that politics is, or should be, a serious conversation about society.
Here are some fundamental questions to consider:

  • Should society be organised by peaceful or forceful means?
  • Who owns each person’s life? That is, is your life your own?
  • Ethically, can you compel people to do good? Should people freely choose to do what good they can?
  • Is every decision made objectively or are some or all decisions subjective?
  • What is the purpose of democracy? For example, is it to limit forceful action to only those areas where people genuinely agree, or is it to authorise a cabal to use whatever force they see fit?

The challenge is to think through the consequences of your answers and the extent to which they can be fulfilled.  Some of these books may help.

And no, Plato’s Republic is not the right answer.

My answers are these: peaceful; my life is my own; no and yes; some, perhaps most, decisions are subjective choices made in the absence of all the relevant information; democracy’s just purpose is to limit forceful action to those areas where there is genuine agreement. None of this limits my fury against injustice and poverty but we cannot continue to seek to solve our problems by resorting to force.

Ofwat, Water UK, the Consumer Council for Water and The Managerial Revolution

In this article, I make the case that we live in a managerial society, one born in the tragedy of the first half of the twentieth century, and that it is this social system which is failing today. I also set out what can be done about it: the future is hopeful.

This morning, I watched on the BBC a fascinating series of interviews in connection with this story about water pricing:

Average water bills in England and Wales will be reduced slightly over the next five years, regulator Ofwat has announced.

It has ruled that typical bills will fall by £3 to £340 by 2015, before the impact of inflation is considered.

Of course, the interviews were not in themselves fascinating; they were fascinating for what they said about the way we have set up our society.

First, Ofwat’s Chief Executive explained with palpable enthusiasm what the regulator is going to do to the industry: force them to operate their businesses in certain ways, insist that there is a record amount available for investment, hold them to account and so on. Ofwat is of course a quango: its estimated expenditure for 2008-9 was £14,856,000.

At some point we heard the industry’s concerns. In September, Water UK, who are “working on behalf of the water industry towards a sustainable future”, said:

Unless Ofwat thinks again, the draft determinations will:

  • put at risk capital expenditure needed for the sustainability of water services;
  • delay service improvements consumers have requested and expect to be delivered;
  • reduce investors’ confidence in the financial stability of the sector leading to higher prices in the medium-term; and in consequence
  • provide a poor bargain for customers and society.

It might be worth reminding ourselves that there was a windfall tax on the utilities but we face an energy crisis: now we find the water industry saying, using jargon, that price controls threaten water supplies.

Returning to the BBC story, after Ofwat, we heard from the National Chair of the Consumer Council for Water, who explained how the Council would be standing up for consumers. Superficially, this is all very well — we would all like someone to stand up for us — but I immediately thought, “Is this a voluntary body of concerned consumers or a government body funded by the taxpayer?”

It is, of course, a government body, one with net operating costs of £5,836,000 in 2007-08.

We now wait for Water UK’s response to Ofwat’s announcement. We see a struggle of Titans in the media, all Titans funded by us: presumably operating Water UK costs the industry — and therefore all of us — a considerable sum every year (their accounts did not come immediately to hand).

So, in a nutshell and leaving aside indirect burdens, it appears the government is spending well over £20 million of our money every year just to deliver a ruling that we shall pay £3 a year less for water by 2015, ignoring inflation.

That will perhaps not come as a great comfort to the gentleman who was telling me recently that, at the age of 74, he is still paying income tax on the modest income he gleans from his savings and state pension. This is a man who worked and saved all his life.

He is right to be angry.

The nature of the system

Now, I have spent enough time with public servants to know that everyone means well. I know from personal contacts that senior civil servants are, on the whole, people of the very highest calibre, people of intellect and talent, good communicators with the best of motivations.

Nevertheless, the system which has been set up is one of conflict. Conflict between “the industry” (represented by Water UK), “the consumer” (represented by the Consumer Council for Water) and the regulator (Ofwat). It spends a great deal of money that we do not have.

Now, I do not propose in this article to prove whether this system is in any sense working or not: I attempt only to set out the pattern of our society and stimulate thought. Plenty of others have set out the case at length: see for example the Institute of Economic Affairs’ Living with Leviathan by David B. Smith. As Smith explains (emphasis mine):

New Labour’s so-called ‘third way’, and the prevalent economic paradigm in much of ‘Old Europe’, appears to correspond to none of these categories [free market, socialist and 'Butskellite' mixed]. Instead, it appears to be a system under which the private sector maintains a nominal legal control over its capital and labour, but the returns on these factors of production are so heavily influenced by tax and regulation that the public sector ends up effectively controlling such returns. This sham form of mixed economy, which needs to be distinguished from the British mixed economy of the 1950s, has traditionally been associated with fascist regimes – for example, the gelenkte Wirtschaft (supple or ‘joined-up’ economy) that Goering implemented in Nazi Germany in 1936. Such systems represent an obvious intellectual attempt to reconcile a socialist-inspired desire for a powerful interventionist state with the wealth-creating force of ‘bourgeois-liberal capitalism’, and tend to be popular with politicians and bureaucrats, because they force all sectors of society to kowtow to the state and its functionaries if they are to remain in business.

This is not a system of freely-chosen mutual cooperation: it is a system of managerial control.


The Managerial Revolution

It is very easy to find polemics against the social changes which were born in the first half of the twentieth century through two world wars and the Great Depression. They include, for example:

And it is very easy to find the relevant propaganda. However, it was only recently that I discovered a scholarly attempt to set out, in 1941, “What is happening in the world”: James Burnham’s The Managerial Revolution.

Burnham identifies and examines three theories of the development of society:

  • The permanence of capitalism,
  • The inevitability of socialism,
  • The transformation of capitalism into some non-socialist form of society.

Burnham — previously a Trotskyist — dismissed the first two and explained that society was experiencing a “Managerial Revolution”. Consider (emphasis mine):

Burnham looked around the world for indications of the new form of society which was emerging to replace historic capitalism and saw certain commonalities between the economic formations of Nazi Germany, Stalinist Russia, and America under Franklin D. Roosevelt and his “New Deal.” Burnham argued that over a comparatively short period, which he dated from the first world war, a new society had emerged in which a “social group or class” which Burnham called “managers” had engaged in a “drive for social dominance, for power and privilege, for the position of ruling class.” For at least a decade previous to Burnham’s book, the idea of a “separation of ownership and control” of the modern corporation had been part of American economic thought, with Burnham citing The Modern Corporation and Private Property by Berle and Means as an important exposition. Burnham expanded upon this concept, arguing that whether ownership was corporate and private or statist and governmental, the essential demarcation between the ruling elite (executives and managers on the one hand, bureaucrats and functionaries on the other) and the mass of society was not ownership so much as it was control of the means of production.

So, while Burnham made many incorrect predictions, it does appear that, at last, here we are, firmly entrenched in a managerial society. Ownership is separated from control. We do indeed have a managerial system along the lines Burnham identified: technical managers, executives, finance capitalists and stockholders. We see that the stockholders do not actually control the companies they own and that attempts to motivate managers by making them stockholders seem to fail because the downside is not shared: bank staff were already paid in deferred stock options before the crisis and, in any event, the crisis was caused by government intervention.

It is this managerial system of society which is now failing us. Let me give two further examples.

As I have reported here in respect of the European Union, an organisation whose propensity to issue detailed rules hardly needs a reference:

So we have the bizarre spectacle of socialists who think the EU may be neo-liberal, capitalists who think it is a socialist project and democrats who illustrate the EU’s democratic deficit to the agreement of its supporters and even the EU itself.

And yet Burnham wrote (1941):

The day of a Europe carved into a score of sovereign states is over; if the states remain, they will be little more than administrative units in a larger collectivity.

It seems to me that the European Union is neither neo-liberal, with all its restrictions on external trade, nor is it socialist, with its emphasis on a supposedly free market: the European Union is managerial.

In “The Living Dead: Switched Off, Zoned Out – The Shocking Truth About Office Life”, David Bolchover makes the case that:

The real truth is that there are millions upon millions of people who are actively disengaged from their jobs, who spend months and years sitting in offices doing next to nothing, lost in the cracks of laughably inefficient and abysmally managed large organisations, their talents wasted and long forgotten.

And there is the tragedy: talents wasted and forgotten. No one is arguing against individuals: we criticise the system in which we live and work. Surely the stellar success of Dilbert and The Office speak for themselves? Why not encourage a new system?

The fundamental problem and the route to progress

Society is the cooperative actions of billions of thinking, acting people. It is an unimaginably complex system which is not only beyond complete comprehension at any particular instant, but which remakes itself and its trajectory as people make subjective choices, moment by moment.

In other words, society cannot be managed. It is a self-organising system which must be allowed to do just that: organise itself.

Ironically, the scholastics of mediaeval Salamanca, who first wrote systematic treatises on economics, knew this, as did many of the enlightenment philosophers. Perhaps the “scientific socialists” forced us to forget.

Management is a worthwhile and laudable profession — I would say that, as a manager myself — but to apply a tool to a problem it cannot solve is a mistake. We have been making this mistake long enough. As Professor Jesús Huerta de Soto writes:

To attempt to coordinate society through coercion is an intellectual error.

Thankfully, David Cameron has been setting out, consistently over several years, a vision of a post-bureaucratic age:

We’re living in an age where technology can put information that was previously held by a few into the hands of almost every one. So the argument that has applied for well over a century – that in every area of life we need people at the centre to make sense of the world for us and make decisions on our behalf – simply falls down. In its place rises up a vision of real people power. This is what we mean by the Post-Bureaucratic Age. The information revolution meets the progressive Conservative philosophy: sceptical about big state power; committed to social responsibility and non-state collective action. The effects of this redistribution of power will be felt throughout our politics, with people in control of the things that matter to them, a country where the political system is open and trustworthy, and power redistributed from the political elite to the man and woman in the street.

For all the rough and tumble of contemporary politics, I am convinced that David Cameron and the Conservative Party have the right vision and the right policies to transform our society into a system which will prosper and endure. People need more power over their own lives, more opportunity, more responsibility and a secure environment within which to determine their own destiny.

The managerial revolution is at an end: it is time for change.

Further reading

Brian Micklethwait on Toby Baxendale

Toby Baxendale

Toby Baxendale

Brian Micklethwait on my colleague, Cobden Centre Chairman, Toby Baxendale:

…You don’t get from seventy grand in debt at the age of twenty one to running a company that turns over a hundred million quid a year before you are even properly middle aged without having something about you.

The thing I find particularly intriguing about Toby is how his thinking in the academic sense and his business and social thinking are so deeply intertwined, which is sadly not true of far too many businessmen.  His early acquaintance with the economic facts of life, due to his parents divorcing early and him being raised by his single mother, meant that he came to the study of economics with a well developed sense of how the economy worked and how wealth gets created, and regular economics didn’t add up.  Too abstract.  Simply: not right.  He paid for much of this education by himself working, first by part-owning and running a night club, then by buying food for a restaurant that he part-owned, the latter activity being the basis of his later business success…

Toby is a remarkable man and I am proud to have been instrumental in establishing the educational charity he founded to promote honest money, free trade and peace in the tradition of that great statesman, Richard Cobden.

Read more.

IEA Blog: New Lib Dem proposals – tax prudent banks to shore up risky ones

The Institute of Economic Affairs critiques New Lib Dem proposals – tax prudent banks to shore up risky ones:

I welcome Vince Cable’s repudiation of the Tobin tax but, instead, he has proposed a tax on bank profits to help provide a sort of insurance premium to pay for the losses banks impose on the taxpayer when they go bust. It would be better to have other reforms to ensure that a “no bail out” pledge can be made credible, but let’s assume that we are starting from here, what is wrong with Vince Cable’s proposal?

Read more.