The manic depressive and the chronic depressive economy

A couple of quotes from De Soto, pp 456-474.

From “Effects the business cycle exerts on the banking sector”:

Hence we can conclude that an inherent trend in the privileged exercise of fractional-reserve banking leads to bank consolidation and encourages bankers to develop and maintain close relations with the central bank as the only institution capable of guaranteeing banks’ survival in moments of crisis, situations banks themselves create regularly. Furthermore the central bank directs, orchestrates, and organizes credit expansion, making sure that banks expand more or less in unison and that none stray far from the established pace.

Eerily familiar… and for fun, from “Marx, Hayek and the view that economic crises are intrinsic to market economies”:

To contend that an economy of real socialism offers the advantage of eliminating economic crises is tantamount to affirming that the advantage of being dead is immunity to disease.

De Soto goes on to provide a clear and detailed solution which he claims could provide stable and gently growing constant prosperity.

Are you an Austrian?

Economics is not a natural science. Unlike physics, you cannot reliably say things like:

For a fixed amount of an ideal gas kept at a fixed temperature, P [pressure] and V [volume] are inversely proportional.

(That is, halve the volume and the pressure will double.)

Unfortunately, many economists and other social scientists think otherwise. Some believe the individual actions of large numbers of humans can be treated mechanistically. They use terms like “aggregate demand” as if the actions and aspirations of millions of individual people should be averaged. In “Human Action”, von Mises argued otherwise.

The Ludwig von Mises Institute explains further:

The opinions of economists are not random. They can be classified into schools of thought, and to schools within schools. It’s too bad that the radio and television announcers can’t just say this before the economist ever opens his mouth.

“Now we have a word from Professor Jones, who was trained according to the Keynesian tradition, and advocates Keynesian-style policies as dictated by a Keynesian model.”

Or, “Now we turn to Professor Smith, who adheres to a Marxian paradigm that regards capitalism as a moral outrage that is destined to collapse according to the implacable laws of history.”

Or, “Professor Walker is a Chicago-school economist who generally appreciates markets but believes in monetary intervention based on a positivist understanding of economic method.”

But of course the economists themselves do not want to be so classified. They would rather be seen as objective scientists — and anyone who disagrees with them to be guilty of fallacy or to be inadequately familiar with empirical reality.

So we begin to understand the character of the present economic debate: participants state their opinions as facts and deride opponents as fools, when such an approach is not justified. Economics is necessary and difficult, but it does not produce reliable scientific laws.

The Institute has produced a quiz which highlights the differences between the Austrian School and the other key schools of thought (Marxist/institutionalist, Keynesian/neoclassical and Chicago/RatEx). The question is, Are you an Austrian?

read more | digg story | the quiz

The Russian Social Democrats

It was not without reason that the Russian Social Democrats, better known to history as the Bolsheviks, decided in November 1917 to call themselves “Communists”.

And so “The Black Book of Communism” is proving an interesting read:

But socialist revolution for Marx was not just a matter of economic development; it was at bottom an eschatological “leap from the kingdom of necessity to the kingdom of freedom.”

Mises, Friedman and Hayek have something to say about that: Marx was wrong.

[Cataloguing the crimes of communism in] an effort at retrospective justice will always encounter one intractable obstacle. Any realistic accounting of Communist crime would effectively shut the door on Utopia; and too many good souls in this unjust world cannot abandon hope for an absolute end to inequality (and some less good souls will always offer them “rational” curative nostrums). And so, all comrade-questers after historical truth should gird their loins for a very Long March indeed before communism is accorded its fair share of absolute evil.”