The PM sets out the facts on public pensions

Via Hansard, the Prime Minister sets out the facts on public pensions at PMQs (emphasis mine):

Let me just remind the right hon. Gentleman and the House of the facts about public sector pensions. Anyone earning less than £15,000 on a full-time equivalent salary will not see any increase in the contributions they have to make. In terms of the reforms we are making, a nurse retiring on a salary of just over £34,000 today would get a pension of £17,000, but in future she would get over £22,000. A teacher retiring on a salary of £37,000 would have got £19,000, but will now get £25,000. These are fair changes. I will tell the House why they are fair. We rejected the idea that we should level down public sector pensions. We think that public sector pensions should be generous, but as people live longer it is only right and fair that they should make greater contributions. What we see today on the Opposition Benches is a party that is in the pocket of the trade union leaders, that has to ask their permission before crossing a picket line and that take the irresponsible side of trade union leaders who have called their people out on strike when negotiations are underway.

I thought the highlighted point was lost yesterday.

Today’s strike action is unjustified

The strike taking place today is not just a walkout, but a walking away from the negotiating table, where a good deal was rejected irresponsibly. The Minister for the Cabinet Office, Francis Maude, has said:

“Tomorrow’s strike is inappropriate, untimely and irresponsible, especially while talks are ongoing.

“We have listened to the concerns of public sector workers and that is why at the beginning of this month we put an improved offer on the table.  The offer ensures that public sector pensions will remain among the very best available while also being fair and affordable to taxpayers.

“While discussions are continuing I would urge public sector workers to look at the offer for themselves rather than listening to the rhetoric of their union leaders.  These are the sort of pensions that few in the private sector can enjoy.

The Government have made sure that anyone who is within ten years of retirement will be able to retire on their current terms and they have also confirmed that low earners making under £15,000 a year (15% of the workforce) will not have to make increased contributions. In addition, another million workers earning up to £21,000 will have their total increase limited to 1.5 per cent over three years.  Accrued benefits that people have built up already will be protected.

I find myself reflecting on the situation faced by those without taxpayer-guaranteed benefits. Suppose the aim is a retirement income of £15,000 a year for life. That means buying what’s known as an annuity. With pension savings of £10,000 buying an annuity worth about £500 a year today, to achieve just £15,000 a year, one would need pension savings of £300,000. To achieve a more comfortable £25,000, one would need to have saved £500,000.

And that income would not be index-linked for protection against inflation.

The TaxPayers’ Alliance has produced a Public / Private Pay Comparison calculator, which is illuminating. It’s a great pity that public and private sector workers have been set in conflict like this but low-risk, tax-funded pay and pensions should never have been allowed to outstrip those funded by riskier commercial activity. We have some wonderful, dedicated and talented workers in our schools, hospitals and elsewhere, and I regret that so many governments have misled them about their relative benefits.

The victims of today’s strikes will be the people who pay strikers’ wages and pensions – the everyday people of Britain. At a time when we are trying to get the economy back on its feet, when we face catastrophic public debts, a strike is the last thing anyone needs.

Speech on the third reading of the Pensions Bill

Via House of Commons Hansard Debates for 18 Oct 2011 (pt 0004):

The right hon. Member for East Ham (Stephen Timms) set out his misgivings about the Bill. I share some of his trepidation about the effects on the group of women that we have discussed, but I shall be supporting the Government because I disagree with the hon. Members for Edinburgh East (Sheila Gilmore) and for Hampstead and Kilburn (Glenda Jackson), who sought to set out our financial position and compare our debt to that after the second world war. I wish that our financial context was as simple as just the size of the national debt. I have the figures and charts on my iPad: shortly after the second world war the Government were running a surplus—the second largest run since the second world war. It was beaten only in 1970.

Labour had attacked the Government’s plans, earning the Secretary of State’s condemnation of their cynicism:

I simply say to the Opposition that I understand the rules of opposition—goodness gracious, we spent enough time in opposition ourselves—and the temptations that come with opposition, but realistically they should be saying to all those women that we have made a major move. We are prepared to spend an extra £1 billion to make sure that those who were excessively caught in that trap are not any more. I think that is fair and reasonable and that the Opposition need to explain to women up and down the land why they are making a big fuss about this when they know, cynically, that they would not overturn this if they came to government. That is a very cynical position to be in—to whip up this emotion outside and then calmly and quietly say, “Of course, we can’t change it.” I am afraid that is bad politics and bad decision making.

Not for the first time, I was disappointed that a subject so important had been so politicised. Two Labour members sought to compare our situation with that after the Second World War, with reference simply to the national debt. The situation is not so simple of course, as I set out in my speech.

I am glad that the Government has found a billion pounds to cap the increase in the time women must wait for their pensions at 18 months. The situation is still highly undesirable, but it is a consequence of decades of weak politics in this area which has led us into this dreadful financial position.

The slides which I used in debate are available here.

Equitable Life Update

Recently, my researcher Tim attended the APPG on Equitable Life. The biggest issue discussed was that of pre-1992 policy holders who have been excluded from the compensation mechanism.

The group heard from Honor Blackman, who is set to receive a full 100% compensation, while two other victims of the Equitable Life collapse were told they would receive no remuneration for their losses.  Mrs. Blackman said that they were all prudent and put money aside for a rainy day, but that was where the similarity ends. She viewed the 1992 cut off date with a burning sense of injustice.

Another attendee who was disqualified spoke about her 91 year old WWII-veteran husband and said that he didn’t fight for injustices like Equitable Life to happen. She stressed that she was not asking for extra benefits – just what is owed.

EMAG are challenging this discrepancy and feel that because these people are in their 80s and 90s, their need is desperate as time is running out for justice.

The recently published Equitable Life Payment Scheme Design sets out in detail what to expect for the post-1992 policy holders, while a letter from Mark Hoban has stated that:

Policy holders do not need to do anything to claim their payments – the Scheme has policyholders’ details from Equitable Life and the Prudential, and will contact policyholders directly in the first instance.

And that:

All payments will be tax free and will not affect eligibility for tax credits.

The Payment Scheme also provides an updated timeline for repayments:

Most WPA policyholders can expect to receive their first payment by June 2012. Payments for WPA policyholders’ past losses will be evenly spread over the first five years of the Scheme, and future losses will paid by the Scheme over the lifetime of the policyholder, or for the fixed or guaranteed term of the policy. This means that most WPA policyholders will receive annual payments up to 2016, and many of those with future losses will also receive payments in subsequent years.

Despite recent advances, I know that in the House there is sympathy for the need to compensate the estimated 10,000 people in the pre-1992 group who have been excluded from any reimbursement.

We should always remember that it was the state which turned Equitable Life from a serious problem into a disaster. The state as a provider and turnaround entrepreneur was never going to work effectively. I hope the relevant lessons have been learned.

Equitable Life (Payments) Bill: 14 Sep 2010

I spoke this week in the debate on the Equitable Life (Payments) Bill:

I wonder whether Chris Williamson has been listening to the same debate as I have. I hope that his constituents do not read his speech in isolation, because in the debate to which I have been listening Government Back Benchers have made it absolutely crystal clear that they will stand up for the members of Equitable Life.

I support this short, technical Bill, but I should like to make some wider points. I endorse many remarks that previous contributors have made, but I disagree on a couple of minor points. Those points are on the margins but, in the long term, absolutely vital, so I hope that Members will bear with me.

One key point is that the state manufactured the problem, or at least manufactured it to the extent that it is with us today: the state enabled Equitable Life to continue to attract new business when it should have folded. If I have understood correctly what I have been told, I should note that if Equitable Life had folded at the first opportunity, a smaller number of policyholders would have received 90% of their due, many years ago. Instead, state action means that very large numbers of people today are concerned about receiving much less, many years after the fact.

In government we have been handed a situation in which there is no doubt that the state must compensate Equitable Life policyholders, and it must do so honourably. That is what many of us signed up to in good faith, even though we knew that the cupboard was bare. The simple fact is that a fair sum must be found.

I have updated my Equitable Life page with the full text of my speech here.

It’s worse than I thought

Professor Kevin Dowd blogs my speech in the budget debate for the IEA:

By far the best contribution to the parliamentary debate on the Emergency Budget was by the MP for Wycombe, Steve Baker. Using impeccable analysis and respected (ONS and Bank for International Settlements) data sources, Mr. Baker painted a frightening scenario in which the fiscal policies of western governments are unsustainable, and were even before the recent crisis erupted.

If you dare, read more here.

Speech in the budget debate

Steve Baker (Wycombe) (Con): When I came to the House today, I expected to hear a great deal of Keynesian argument and I have not been disappointed. I am sorry that the hon. Member for Great Grimsby (Austin Mitchell) is no longer in the Chamber, as I wanted to congratulate him on his comprehensive grasp of Keynesian arguments. Unfortunately, it was also excruciating.

I am told that Keynes thought that the safe upper limit for the size of the state was 25% of national income. He might have halved the size of Government, so we can applaud the Budget as extremely moderate and thoughtful.

I have to tell those who propose deficit spending that it is inherently unsustainable. When Governments spend with a deficit they are bound to inject funds in a particular location in the economy and that is bound to create a pattern of economic activity that can be sustained only with deficit spending. We all accept that deficit spending cannot go on for ever. As one of my hon. Friends explained earlier this week, last year we were able to borrow only because we created a hole in the market for bonds using quantitative easing. That is so dangerous. In the past the world has seen the effects of printing money to pay off Government deficits, and I would dread to think that this country should live through such a circumstance.

I am reminded of some words published in 1945:

“I see now more clearly than ever before that even our greatest troubles spring from something that is as admirable and sound as it is dangerous-from our impatience to better the lot of our fellows.”

That is a quotation from Karl Popper, who is an interesting philosopher because, like his contemporary, Friedrich Hayek, he was a socialist until he understood where that philosophy went.

I am interested in the general well-being, particularly as Wycombe has not only great wealth but significant poverty and income levels everywhere in between. We must take seriously the realities that we face. I am glad that the Budget has included an announcement that there will be a review of pensions, and I should like to speak on that. I am grateful to my hon. Friend the Member for Stourbridge (Margot James) for having brought up the subject.

Read the rest of the speech here.

FT.com – Longer life raises bill for taxpayers

The projected value of the state pension collapses in the face of the rising cost of public sector pensions:

Billions of pounds have been added to the cost of unfunded public sector pensions as the various schemes from the NHS to civil servants, the armed forces and teachers have updated their assumptions about how long people will live, Watson Wyatt, the pensions consultants, said.

The NHS has become the latest to do so, with the government now expecting the typical employee to draw their pension for more than 30 years – to beyond their 90th birthday.

via FT.com / UK / Politics & policy – Longer life raises bill for taxpayers.